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    Estimating Parameters of the 1918-19 Influenza Epidemic on U.S. Military Bases

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    Author
    Sohn, Kyongsei
    Boulier, Bryan L.
    Journal title
    Journal of Applied Business and Economics
    Date Published
    2012-10-01
    Publication Volume
    13
    Publication Issue
    4
    
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    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12648/2100
    Abstract
    Occasional shifts in the influenza virus generates a new variant, posing potential threat of a deadly epidemic. This type of shift occurred with the 1918-19 flu with devastating consequences in the U.S. and worldwide. Using newly developed data from 18 U.S. military establishments during the 1918-19 flu epidemic, we estimate parameters of the Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Asymptomatic-Removed epidemic model. Our estimates show considerable variation in the value of the infectivity parameter across bases. This variation is uncorrelated with base size or beginning date of the epidemic. Results indicate that the epidemic on U.S. military bases was more infectious than those of in England and Wales.
    Citation
    Sohn, K & Boulier, B. (2012) Estimating Parameters of the 1918-19 Influenza Epidemic on U.S. Military Bases, Journal of Applied Business and Economics , volume 13(4), 30-42.
    Description
    http://www.sherpa.ac.uk/romeo/issn/1499-691X/
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    Business-Economics Faculty Publications

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