Seasonality, Timing, and Climate Drivers of Influenza Activity Worldwide
Average rating
Cast your vote
You can rate an item by clicking the amount of stars they wish to award to this item.
When enough users have cast their vote on this item, the average rating will also be shown.
Star rating
Your vote was cast
Thank you for your feedback
Thank you for your feedback
Author
Azziz Baumgartner, EduardoDao, Christine N.
Nasreen, Sharifa
Bhuiyan, Mejbah Uddin
Mah-E-Muneer, Syeda
Mamun, Abdullah Al
Sharker, M. A. Yushuf
Zaman, Rashid Uz
Cheng, Po-Yung
Klimov, Alexander I.
Widdowson, Marc-Alain
Uyeki, Timothy M.
Luby, Stephen P.
Mounts, Anthony
Bresee, Joseph
Journal title
The Journal of Infectious DiseasesDate Published
2012-07-24Publication Volume
206Publication Issue
6Publication Begin page
838Publication End page
846
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
Background: Although influenza is a vaccine-preventable disease that annually causes substantial disease burden, data on virus activity in tropical countries are limited. We analyzed publicly available influenza data to better understand the global circulation of influenza viruses. Method: We reviewed open-source, laboratory-confirmed influenza surveillance data. For each country, we abstracted data on the percentage of samples testing positive for influenza each epidemiologic week from the annual number of samples testing positive for influenza. The start of influenza season was defined as the first week when the proportion of samples that tested positive remained above the annual mean. We assessed the relationship between percentage of samples testing positive and mean monthly temperature with use of regression models. Findings: We identified data on laboratory-confirmed influenza virus infection from 85 countries. More than one influenza epidemic period per year was more common in tropical countries (41%) than in temperate countries (15%). Year-round activity (ie, influenza virus identified each week having ≥ 10 specimens submitted) occurred in 3 (7%) of 43 temperate, 1 (17%) of 6 subtropical, and 11 (37%) of 30 tropical countries with available data (P = .006). Percentage positivity was associated with low temperature (P = .001). Interpretation: Annual influenza epidemics occur in consistent temporal patterns depending on climate.Citation
Azziz Baumgartner E, Dao CN, Nasreen S, Bhuiyan MU, Mah-E-Muneer S, Al Mamun A, Sharker MA, Zaman RU, Cheng PY, Klimov AI, Widdowson MA, Uyeki TM, Luby SP, Mounts A, Bresee J. Seasonality, timing, and climate drivers of influenza activity worldwide. J Infect Dis. 2012 Sep 15;206(6):838-46. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jis467. Epub 2012 Jul 24. PMID: 22829641.DOI
10.1093/infdis/jis467ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
10.1093/infdis/jis467
Scopus Count
Collections
The following license files are associated with this item:
- Creative Commons
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
Related articles
- Surveillance for influenza--United States, 1997-98, 1998-99, and 1999-00 seasons.
- Authors: Brammer TL, Murray EL, Fukuda K, Hall HE, Klimov A, Cox NJ
- Issue date: 2002 Oct 25
- Epidemiology and timing of seasonal influenza epidemics in the Asia-Pacific region, 2010-2017: implications for influenza vaccination programs.
- Authors: El Guerche-Séblain C, Caini S, Paget J, Vanhems P, Schellevis F
- Issue date: 2019 Mar 21
- Part 4. Interaction between air pollution and respiratory viruses: time-series study of daily mortality and hospital admissions in Hong Kong.
- Authors: Wong CM, Thach TQ, Chau PY, Chan EK, Chung RY, Ou CQ, Yang L, Peiris JS, Thomas GN, Lam TH, Wong TW, Hedley AJ, HEI Health Review Committee
- Issue date: 2010 Nov
- Influenza seasonality in Madagascar: the mysterious African free-runner.
- Authors: Alonso WJ, Guillebaud J, Viboud C, Razanajatovo NH, Orelle A, Zhou SZ, Randrianasolo L, Heraud JM
- Issue date: 2015 May
- [Epidemiologic characteristics of influenza in China, from 2001 to 2003].
- Authors: Zhang J, Yang WZ, Guo YJ, Xu H, Zhang Y, Li Z, Guo JF, Wang M, Wang WJ, Li ZM, Sun XH, Xiao DL
- Issue date: 2004 Jun